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13
Basis of Risk Measurement
Dan M. McGill
Revised by Norma Nielson and Donald Jones

Chapter Outline

THEORY OF PROBABILITY
APPLICATION TO LIFE INSURANCE
Life Expectancy
The Law of Large Numbers
Construction of Mortality Tables
Adjustments to Mortality Data
Completing the Table
Reflecting Differences in Mortality from Published Tables
COMMON CHARACTERISTICS OF PUBLIC TABLES

As stated in an earlier chapter, insurance is a mechanism through which certainty replaces uncertainty. This occurs when many people exposed to loss from a particular hazard contribute to a common fund so those who suffer a loss from that cause can be compensated. The certainty of losing the premium replaces the uncertainty of a larger loss. For a plan of insurance to function, the pricing method needs to measure the risk of loss and determine the amount to be contributed by each participant. The theory of probability provides such scientific measurement.

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